中国猪业 ›› 2025, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (6): 89-96.doi: 10.16174/j.issn.1673-4645.2025.06.0010

• 猪业经济 • 上一篇    

基于Z-Score模型对上市养猪企业的财务风险评价

宋星宇,丁 桦   

  1. 青海民族大学经济与管理学院,青海西宁 810007
  • 出版日期:2026-01-12 发布日期:2025-12-25

  • Online:2026-01-12 Published:2025-12-25

摘要: 近年来,生猪养殖行业在发展过程中,面临着诸多风险,尤其是财务风险。因此,选取某上市养猪企业作为研究对象,采用定性与定量相结合的方法,并以其2020—2024年的财务报表披露数据为基础,从公司的筹资能力、投资能力、营运能力以及现金流等4个角度计算并分析相关财务指标,对其财务状况进行评价,并使用Z-Score模型对A企业存在的财务风险进行综合评价,进而为其财务风险管控提出相应建议。

关键词: 养猪企业, Z-Score模型, 财务风险, 筹资能力, 投资能力, 营运能力, 现金流

Abstract: In recent years, the pig breeding industry had been confronted with various risks during its development, with financial risks being particularly prominent. Therefore, this study selected a listed pig-raising enterprise as the research object and adopted a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods. Based on the financial statement data disclosed by the company from 2020 to 2024, it calculated and analyzed relevant financial indicators from four perspectives: the company's financing capacity, investment capacity, operational capacity, and cash flow, so as to evaluate its financial status. Furthermore, the Z-Score Model was applied to conduct a comprehensive assessment of the financial risks faced by A enterprises, and corresponding suggestions were proposed for its financial risk management and control.

Key words: swine production enterprises, Z-Score model, financial risk, fundraising capability, investment capability, operational capability, cash flow

中图分类号:  [S8-9];F275.5

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